3 stats that show how wild April has been for markets [Business Insider] Skip to main content

3 stats that show how wild April has been for markets [Business Insider]

By Ahmed Abed – News journalist

If you thought March was a rollercoaster, April has so far been the loop-de-loop that leaves your stomach somewhere near your throat. We’re only halfway through the month, and already the financial markets have served up a cocktail of volatility, record-breaking moves, and head-scratching reversals. To put it plainly: April has been an absolute wild ride for investors, and the numbers are telling a story that’s hard to ignore.

I’ve been covering markets for years, and even I had to double-check my screen this week. So, let’s cut through the noise. Here are three stats that sum up just how chaotic this April has been for global markets.

1. The S&P 500 saw its biggest single-day swing since 2020

Stat: The S&P 500 moved more than 3% in a single session on April 10, marking the largest intraday reversal since the pandemic crash of March 2020.

Let’s set the scene. On Wednesday, April 10, the market opened on a seemingly positive note after a cooler-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Traders cheered, pushing the S&P 500 up nearly 1.5% in the first hour. Then, the rug was pulled. By midday, a sudden shift in sentiment—fueled by a surprise hawkish comment from a Federal Reserve official and a spike in oil prices—sent the index into a tailspin. By the close, the S&P had erased all gains and finished down 1.9%.

The net result? A swing of over 3% from the session high to the low. That’s not just a bad day; that’s a panic event. To put it in perspective, moves of this magnitude used to happen only during full-blown crises. The last time we saw a 3% intraday reversal was during the depths of COVID uncertainty. This kind of whipsaw action tells me that traders are incredibly twitchy, and the market is pricing in a binary outcome: either the economy lands softly, or we hit a recession. There’s no middle ground.

For everyday investors, this means one thing: don’t check your portfolio every hour. If you’re in it for the long haul, April’s gyrations are noise. But for short-term players, this stat is a flashing red warning light.

2. The VIX (fear index) spiked above 30—and then dropped 40% in a week

Stat: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) hit a 2024 high of 33.5 on April 8, only to collapse to 19.2 by April 15—a drop of nearly 43% in just seven days.

The VIX, often called the “fear gauge,” measures expected volatility over the next 30 days. When it’s above 30, markets are in panic mode. When it’s below 20, investors are relatively calm. So what happened? On April 8, the VIX surged above 33 as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East escalated and bond yields shot higher. It was a genuine fear spike. I remember seeing panic selling in tech stocks, and the chatter on trading floors was grim.

But then, something weird happened. By April 15, the VIX had plunged back below 20. That’s a 43% drop in a single week. For context, that’s the fastest collapse in the VIX since the 2022 bear market bottom. Why? Because the same fears that caused the spike—higher rates, inflation worries—suddenly seemed less scary after a surprisingly strong retail sales report and earnings from big banks that beat expectations.

This stat is a textbook example of “volatility of volatility.” The VIX itself is moving like a meme stock. It tells me that the market has no idea where it’s going. One day, everyone is terrified; the next, they’re buying the dip. If you’re trying to time the market based on fear, you’re going to get whiplash.

3. Gold hit an all-time high while the dollar rallied—a rare divergence

Stat: Gold touched a record $2,450 per ounce on April 12, while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) simultaneously rose to a five-month high of 106.5.

Here’s a head-scratcher for you. Normally, gold and the dollar move in opposite directions. When the dollar strengthens, gold gets more expensive for foreign buyers, so its price falls. But this April, that relationship broke down spectacularly. Gold soared to a fresh all-time high of $2,450 on April 12, even as the dollar index surged to levels not seen since November 2023.

Why does this matter? It means something unusual is driving gold. Typically, a strong dollar is a headwind for commodities. But central banks—particularly in China, India, and Turkey—have been buying gold like crazy to diversify away from the dollar. In fact, global central bank gold purchases hit a record 1,137 tonnes in 2023, and the buying has accelerated in April. Add in retail fear about inflation and geopolitical instability, and you get a perfect storm.

This stat is wild because it shows that the old rules don’t apply. The dollar is strong, yet gold is stronger. For investors, it’s a signal that we’re in a regime shift. Cash is no longer king in the traditional sense—people want hard assets, even if the cost in dollars is high. It’s a bet against the system, and April is making that bet look smart.

What does this mean for the rest of April?

If these three stats tell us anything, it’s that April is not for the faint of heart. The market is oscillating between fear and greed faster than a day trader can blink. The S&P’s 3% swing, the VIX’s collapse, and gold’s dollar-defying rally all point to one conclusion: uncertainty is the only certainty.

For the average person, this is a reminder to stick to your plan. Don’t chase gold at all-time highs. Don’t panic-sell stocks during a VIX spike. And definitely don’t try to predict the next move based on April’s wild data. As a journalist who watches this stuff daily, I can tell you that the best strategy right now is to buckle up, ignore the noise, and wait for the dust to settle.

April isn’t over yet. If the first half is any indication, we’re in for more surprises. But at least now you know the stats that are driving the madness.

Ahmed Abed – News journalist

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